Israel pessimistic as hostage talks begin in Doha

During a cabinet meeting last night(Monday), extensive discussions were held regarding the mandate for the Israeli delegation currently in Qatar. Some within Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's inner circle suggested that all details be shared with the expanded cabinet. 

However, heads of the defense system objected, citing concerns about potential leaks and the sensitivity of the information. 

They emphasized the need to avoid compromising negotiations by revealing Israel's strategy prematurely. Ultimately, the Prime Minister opted to provide a general overview to the expanded cabinet, revealing underlying tensions and pressures.

The Israeli delegation, led by Mossad chief Dedi Barnea and Major General Nitzan Alon, officially commenced talks in Qatar with a dinner to break the Ramadan fast. 

Notably, the Mossad chief is expected to return to Israel early, despite the negotiations' commencement, indicating progress in the discussions.

Negotiations are set to take place at a designated complex in a Doha hotel, with a corridor separating Israeli and Hamas representatives' rooms. Mediators will shuttle between the rooms, facilitating discussions. While an estimated timeline of two weeks has been suggested, uncertainties remain regarding potential obstacles Hamas may encounter.

Highlighting the intricate nature of the negotiations, a senior Israeli official emphasized that decisions will ultimately rest with Sinwar, Hamas' leader in Gaza. Each proposed move will undergo meticulous scrutiny, with responses anticipated within 24 to 36 hours, underscoring the complexity and patience required.

Complexities that lie ahead in the negotiations

Addressing the substantive gaps between the parties, discussions must navigate issues such as prisoner exchanges and the resettlement of displaced individuals. 

The Paris plan, previously agreed upon by Israel, proposed releasing 400 prisoners in exchange for 40 hostages. 

However, Hamas is pushing for the release of 950 prisoners, prompting deliberations on flexibility. Additionally, concerns persist regarding the selection of released prisoners and the timing of resettlement efforts.

Another sticking point revolves around the absence of a comprehensive ceasefire in the Paris plan. Hamas insists on Israel committing to a ceasefire as part of Phase B, marking an end to hostilities. These issues represent just a fraction of the complexities that lie ahead in the negotiations.